January 2015 Outlook

Plan on above normal temperatures for all of Utah with near normal precipitation.

Southern Utah Snow

Snow is expected at times over southern Utah today through early Thursday morning. Plan on a general 2-4" of snow for the valleys between 3,000-4,000 ft, 5-9" for areas between 4,000-6500 ft, 10-16" for areas above 6,500 ft. See below for the model forecasted snow for this storm.

Downslope winds

See below map of the WRF model forecasted steady winds at 9am Tuesday. The area in red (Centerville/Farmington) could see gusts to 65+ mph.

More snow (12)

Snow is expected to spread back into northern Utah on Sunday morning and continue at times into Tuesday. Plan on 1/2-3" of snow the northern/central Utah valleys, 3-6"+ benches, 4-8" mountain valleys, 8-15" mountains above 7,000 ft. See below for WRF model forecasted snow for this storm.

White Christmas (11)

Snow is expected to move into most of the state on Wednesday night and continue into Friday morning in local areas that do well in a northerly flow. Plan on a general 1-4" of snow for many western valleys of Utah between 4,000-5,000 ft and local eastern valleys, 4-6+" bench areas and western valley areas between 5,000-6,000 ft ft, 6-10" mountain valleys and areas between 6,000-7,000 ft, 8-14" southern Utah mountains above 7,000 ft, 10-20" northern Utah mountains above 7,000 ft. Click on the below map for NWS forecasted snow for the storm, the map below that for WRF Model forecasted snow for the storm.

Snow Cover

A view of the snow cover over Utah on December 23rd.

Heavy wet mountain snow (10)

A few spotty light snow showers are expected to move into northern/central Utah on Friday night with tr-1" accumulation mainly over the mountains of northern Utah.  A prolonged moist northwest flow at mountain top levels (mainly southerly flow at the surface) is anticipated to set up over northern/central Utah on Saturday night and continue through the day on Monday with heavy wet snow for the mountains, rain in the valleys and as high as 7,000 ft. Plan on a general 18-24" of snow for most northern/central Utah mountains above 8,000 ft with local 24-30" amounts. Click on the below map for WRF model forecasted snow through 5pm Monday.

Left overs (9)

Valley rain and mountain snow will move into southwestern Utah on Friday afternoon then through the entire state on Friday night, a few lingering snow showers on Saturday mainly over and near the mountains. Plan on a general 3-9" of snow for most Utah mountains above 8,000 ft. Below is the National Weather Service Salt Lake office forecasted snow amounts through 5pm Saturday.

WRF Model forecasted snow between 5am Friday and 5am Monday.

Small warm storm

A small and warm storm (warm for December) is expected to bring scattered light valley rain showers and mountain snow showers to the entire state at times Tuesday night through the day on Thursday, most hours dry in the valleys. Plan on a general 1-5" of snow for most Utah mountain areas above 8,000 ft. See the below WRF model forecasted snow through 5am on Friday.

November 2014 Climate Summary

Click on the below link
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/November2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

December Outlook

Plan on above normal temperatures for all of Utah in December with above normal precipitation for southern 2/3rds of the state.

Another weak storm (8)

A weak cold font will move into northern Utah on Saturday night and stall near the point of the mountain by mid morning on Sunday, the front then retreats back to the north as a warm front on Sunday afternoon/night. Plan on a general 1-5" of snow for the central/northern Wasatch and Uinta mountains above 8,000 ft. Click on the below map for WRF model forecasted snow for this storm.

Weak storm (7)

A weak storm (warm front) is expected to spread mountain snow into northern Utah on Tuesday morning as early as 5am and continue through as late as 1am Wednesday. FYI, This type of over running (warm front) situation is prone to riming. Plan on a general 1-3" of snow for the central/southern Wasatch and Uinta mountains above 8,000 ft with 4-8" for the northern Wasatch/Bear River Mountains, most snow falling over the Bear River Mountains. Click on the below map for WRF model forecasted snow through 5pm Thursday.

A little snow in the mountains

Good winter storm (5/6)

A warm front is expected to spread valley rain and mountain snow into northern Utah on Saturday morning ahead of a cold front that moves through in the afternoon that will change the valley rain to snow, continued lighter snow showers on Saturday night at times mainly over the mountains. Plan on a general break in the snow on Sunday for most areas except south and east of the Great Salt Lake where lake effect is projected to set up. A second round of snow is anticipated to move in on Sunday night and continue into the morning hours on Monday, most snow on Monday will again mainly fall in areas south and east of the Great Salt Lake and over the mountains in areas that do well in a northwest flow. Plan on a general 10-20" of snow for most northern/central Utah mountains above 8,000 ft, 18-28" for the Cottonwoods. In the valleys look for a general tr-2", 2-5" benches and in areas that see lake effect. Below is the WRF model forecasted snow for this storm. Enjoy!

Finally some real snow for the mountains! (3/4)

A warm front is expected to move through mainly northern Utah on Thursday with valley snow changing to rain, snow on the mountains. Plan on continued showers at times on Friday focused over the mountains ahead of a cold front that is projected to move through the entire state late Friday night and through the day on Saturday with valley rain changing back to snow. Below is the model forecasted snow through 5PM Saturday. Plan on a general 10-20" of snow for the northern/central Utah mountains above 8,000 ft by 5PM on Saturday, local 24"+ possible!

Windy, cold, very little snow (2)

A strong cold front will move through the state on Monday bringing mainly wind and cold temperatures, tr-3" of snow for the northern Utah mountains. Below is the model forecast snow for this small snow producing storm.

October 2014 Climatic Summary

Click on the below link
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/October2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

Windy!

HRRR model forecasted winds gusts for 2pm today. Most areas in Utah will likely see 35+ mph wind gusts, local 65+ mph winds possible!

First real snow of the season (1)

A small storm is expected to deliver a general 3-6" of snow to most Utah mountains this weekend above 8,000 ft with local 6-12" amounts above 10,000 ft focused in the Uinta's.

November Outlook

Plan on above normal temperatures for the entire state in November with near normal precipitation.

No snow in the mountains

September 2014 Climatic Summary

Click on the below link.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/September2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

October Outlook

Plan on near normal temperatures for most of Utah in October, above normal temperatures far west areas. Near normal precipitation is expected in most areas of Utah in October, below normal precipitation in the northwest corner.

River crests over the weekend!

Widespread soaking rain

Plan on widespread soaking rain this weekend for much of Utah. Below is the model forecasted rain through 6am Monday, most areas in green are expected to see 0.64"+ with areas in pink 1.28"+, black 2.56"+.

2014-2015 Winter Outlook

My current 2014-2015 winter forecast is 80-90% of normal for areas north of Ogden, 90% of normal for areas between Ogden and Provo, 90-110% of normal from Provo to I-70, 110-130+% of normal south of I-70. My wish forecast is a repeat of 2010-2011 season!

Soaking rain

WRF Model projected rain fall through 6am Wednesday. Plan on a general 1-2" of soaking rain for most central/southern Utah mountains with local 3"+.

August 2014 Climatic Summary

Go to the below link
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/August2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

September Outlook

Plan on the wetter than normal weather for southeast Utah in September with warmer than normal temperatures for southwest Utah.

July 2014 Climatic Summary

Go to the link below.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/July2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

August Outlook

Plan on above normal precipitation for all of Utah in August with near normal precipitation.

June 2014 Climatic Summary

Click on the below link.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/June2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

July Outlook

Plan on warmer than normal temperatures for the western half of Utah with above normal precipitation for most of Utah.

May 2014 Climatic Summary

Click on the below link.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/May2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

June Outlook

Plan on near normal temperatures for most of Utah with above normal precipitation for most areas except the southwest corner of the state.

Significant spring snow!

Look for 20"+ of snow tonight through Sunday night in local central/eastern mountain above 8,000 ft including the northern slope of the Uinta mountains. Click on the below map for model projected snowfall for the storm.

April 2014 Climatic Summary

Click on the below link.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/April2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

More spring snow - Lake effect?

Click on the below map for model projected snow fall through 6pm Monday, possible lake effect snow to the valley floors on Monday morning.

Spring snow - wind

Strong south winds today with gusts to 60+ ahead of a strong cold front that will bring a general 3-6" of snow to the Wasatch and Uinta mountains above 7,000 ft. Click on the below map for model forecasted snow amounts.

May Outlook

In May look for warmer than normal temperatures in southern Utah with near normal temperatures for northern Utah, plan on near normal precipitation for all of Utah.

Western US Snow Water Equvialent % of Normal

March 20014 Climatic Summary

Click on the link below.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/March2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

Slow moving storm

A slow moving storm will bring more wet weather back to Utah starting on Monday night then continuing into Thursday in some areas. Plan on a general 4-10" of snow for most mountain areas above 8,000 ft, local 10-20" amounts over the Raft River Range. Click on the below map for model forecasted snow through 6pm Thursday.

More snow, strong cold front

A strong cold front will move through Utah on Sunday bringing more snow to all mountain areas with rain changing to snow in the valleys, most snow ends by sunrise on Monday. Plan on a general 7-11" of snow for the northern Utah mountains above 8,000 ft with 4-7" for the southern Utah mountains, trace-2" of snow for the Wasatch front benches. Click on the below map for model forecasted snow for this storm.

Spring snow

Plan on mountain snow at times today through Friday morning, snow mixed in as low as the valley floor with little if any accumulation in most places. Look for a general 8-12" of snow for the northern Utah mountains above 8,000 ft with 4-10" for the central/southern Utah mountains. Click on the below image for model forecasted snow fall through 6am Friday.

April Outlook

Plan on near normal precipitation in April for all of Utah. Look for near normal temperatures for northern Utah in April, above normal temperatures for southern Utah.

Last storm for awhile

A storm is expected to bring valley rain changing to snow to northern and central Utah on Monday night into the morning hours on Tuesday, looks to be the last storm for a week or so. Plan on a general trace-3" for the valleys/benches, 2-4" for the mountain valleys, and 4-10" for the mountains above 7,000 ft. Click on the below map for model projected snowfall for this storm.

Small storm

Plan on some valley rain and mountain snow today for central and northern Utah with a few snow showers lingering into Friday morning over the mountains. In general look for 3-8" of snow above 8,000 ft. Click on the below map for model forecasted snow amounts.

Western US Snow Water Equivalent % of Normal

A great February for northern Utah, not looking good down south. Click on the above map for more detail.

February 2014 Climatic summary.

Go to http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/slc/climate/CLM/February2014_Climatic_Summary.pdf

First of two storms

The first of two storms (second on Friday night into Saturday morning) is expected to move into Utah tomorrow (Thursday) bringing valley rain and mountain snow, general snow level stays above 7,000 ft. Plan on 3-9" of snow for the central and northern Utah mountains above 8,000 ft. Click on the below map for WRF-GFS model forecasted snow for this storm.

Lack of valley snow cover in February!

The below picture is the Wasatch Front on February 26th.

March Outlook

Plan on above normal temperatures for most of Utah in March with above normal precipitation for the northern half of the state. For the first time sine July 2013 the monthly outlook has above normal precipitation for parts of Utah!

Quick moving storm

A storm will move through northern and central Utah today with quick burst of snow for a few hours in the valleys then a break with snow showers filling back in this evening. Plan on a general trace-3" of snow for the Wasatch front valleys, 2-4" mountain valleys, and 4-12" mountains above 7,000 ft. Click on the below image for model forecasted snow fall for this storm.

More heavy wet snow

Plan on more heavy wet snow over the central and northern Utah mountains today and tomorrow with valley rain. Plan on a general 8-20" of snow in areas above 8,000 ft with the highest amounts in areas that do well is a southwesterly flow. Click on the below map for model forecasted snow between 5am today and 5am Friday, model forecasted amounts are usually a little high is this type of pattern.

Lots of snow!

A moist westerly flow will be over mainly central/northern Utah through Monday morning with snow at times over the mountains, snow changing to rain in the valleys. Click on the below map for model forecasted snow between 5am Friday and 5am Monday, does not include the snow that has already fallen. Typically the models over forecast snow in this type of situation but lots of snow is still expected! For now plan on a general 18-36"+ for most central and northern Utah mountains above 7,000 ft through 5am Monday.

Small storm

A small storm is expected to move into Utah on Monday night and continue into the day on Tuesday. Plan on a general tr-2" of snow in the valleys, 2-4" benches, 3-5" mountain valleys, and 5-10" for most central and northern Utah mountains above 7,000 ft. Click on the below map for more details.

Western US Snow Water Equivalent % of Normal