Human activity is certainly responsible for some portion of the current warming, particularly through deforestation and urbanization. However, many physicists—specifically those with a deep understanding of thermodynamics at the molecular level rather than climatologists or meteorologists—argue that variations in solar radiation are the primary driver of climate change, though not the only one. Changes in incoming solar radiation can largely (but not entirely) be explained by orbital cycles, sunspot activity, and volcanic eruptions. It is reasonable to agree that the amount of solar radiation reaching Earth plays a significant role in determining global temperatures and climate.
Other factors that influence climate include the amount of cosmic rays reaching Earth’s atmosphere. Cosmic rays ionize the atmosphere, providing nuclei around which water droplets can condense. A decrease in cosmic rays results in fewer ions, reduced cloud formation, increased solar radiation reaching the surface, and warmer temperatures. Conversely, an increase in cosmic rays leads to more ionization, increased cloud cover, reduced solar radiation, and cooler temperatures. Cosmic rays originate both within and beyond our solar system, and the number that reach Earth depends on several variables.
The only computer climate models that have come close to accurately reproducing past climate changes have relied primarily on orbital cycles that affect solar radiation, rather than on greenhouse gases such as CO₂. While CO₂ and other greenhouse gases—most notably water vapor, which is by far the most abundant—have long been a theory of climate change but many physicists have proven otherwise.
Article about how increased CO2 cools the atmosphere http://ruby.fgcu.edu/courses/twimberley/EnviroPhilo/CoolingOfAtmosphere.pdf
Astronomically based decadal-scale empirical harmonic climate model http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682611003385
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| Average of 18 non tree ring proxies of temperature from 12 locations around the northern hemisphere published by Craig Loehle in 2007. |





Hi Scott,
ReplyDeleteI read your exchange of climate-change related posts in the SL Trib the other day. While I agree with you, on the Trib boards you are casting pearls before swine.
My lady and I are amateur geology enthusiasts and as such, recognize the truth in what you say.
The tribune boards are filled with people who think more laws and government spending will solve everything, on all issues.
Thanks for speaking the truth, even though it makes you a lightning rod.
We love your site.
I'm in my off-season, but will be sure to donate when I'm back to work in a few weeks.
Thanks
Thanks for your kind words and support, truth with prevail in the end. Every day scientists are coming around to the fact that CO2 is not the cause of global warming and man has very little if any effect on climate. The likely cause of climate change is the various complicated earth/sun/solar system relationships that change the amount of the suns energy that reaches the earth.
Deletehttp://www.skepticalscience.com/16_more_years_of_global_warming.html
ReplyDeletehttp://www.skepticalscience.com/dueling-scientists-oregonian.html
Yes there are those that don't agree and I encourage everyone to read both sides of the debate. My site links are for those that want to read about the less publicized articles that don't generate the hype and associated high ratings.
DeleteGood list, thanks. I'm a meteorologist as well.
ReplyDeleteNice blog and absolutely outstanding. You can do something much better but i still say this perfect.Keep trying for the best. environment
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